USA FluWatch.com Activity, Summers of 2002, 2003, and 2004
(Looking for Influenza outbreaks following June 2004 Venus Transit)
Installed on 22 May 2004. Latest update 12 Oct 2014.
The graphs above show the running totals of the
FluWatch.com[Site was discontinued in about 2005.] active zipcodes in the United
States for the summers of 2002, 2003, and 2004. The Venus inferior conjunction/transit in
2004 was on 8 June. If there is to be a related outbreak of influenza, the prime time
to look for it should be 30 to 60 days following the conjunction. That time period (8 July to 7 August)
is shown on the 2004 graph in a lighter shade of grey. One or more influenza-like illnesses
might make appearances as early as 15 days after the conjunction. That would correspond to June 23rd.
See USA Influenza Activity 2003-2004 for a map which shows the
locations of the currently active FluWatch zipcodes.
There was no apparent out of the ordinary FluWatch activity following the
Venus transit. There was a mid-month surge in May 2004, but in the absense of
further evidence it would be hard to relate it to the transit.
In July 2004, an outbreak of influenza A (H3N2) was detected at 3 Bhutanese refugee
camps in southeastern Nepal. Hemagglutination inhibition showed that ≈ 40% of the
viruses from this outbreak were antigenically distinct from the A/Wyoming/3/03
See: Influenza A
(H3N2) Outbreak, Nepal.
This outbreak would not have shown up in the USA Fluwatch activity. [Added 12 Oct 2014.]
[08 Jul 2004]
In the last two weeks, avian influenza appears to have re-emerged in poultry in
several countries in Asia. These outbreaks could either be new outbreaks of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza A(H5N1) virus or a continuation of the outbreaks first
reported earlier in the year. These events, in addition to two new research reports
-- about the virus becoming increasingly pathogenic and becoming more widespread
in birds in the region -- fuel the World Health Organization's concern about the
threat the virus poses to human health. See: WHO Global Alert and Response (GAR) Avian influenza - Current evaluation
of risks to humans from H5N1 following recent reports. [Added 12 Oct 2014.]